Current Lines

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

MLB Opening Day!

The 2012 MLB season opens Wednesday, with the Mariners and A's facing off in the Tokyodome.  Both teams will be battling it out for third place in the AL West, looking up at the Rangers and Angels by season's end.

If you're on the east coast and want to watch, you'll need to in front of your boob tube around 6am.

I usually don't start betting baseball until around May. That way I can get a feel for which teams are playing well and which pitchers are off to a hot start. Because of an article I read, written by Statmojo, I've decided to start early this season early.

Statmojo states that by betting the underdog in every game in April of last season . . . well, I'll let him tell you.

In April 2011, if you risked one unit on every single MLB dog over 379 games, you would have gone 192-187 and won an astonishing 56.14 units!

 Please note that this particular month of this season was an anomaly. In April 2010 if you bet every dog you would have won 2.52 units. That being said, for blindly taking every dog every day that is still pretty good!
I'm not prepared to blindly bet every dog, but I think I'll try to stick with the mutts for the most part and see if I can take advantage of Stat's +EV observation.

For example, I'm going to pass on the opener with McCarthy opening for Oakland and Hernandez for Seattle. The A's are +$120, but Hernandez is a Cy Young winner and McCarthy had a poor spring, giving up 9 runs in 11+ innings. So taking the A's doesn't look like a good bet to me.

Thursday's game looks better, with Oakland's Colon facing Seattle's Vargas, who had a 12+ ERA this spring. I haven't seen a line yet, but if the A's are the underdogs, I'll be a buyer.

Guess we'll have to wait and see.

Starting Bankroll           $1,500.00
Profit/Loss                        $0
Current Bankroll           $1,500.00

Action is considered dead unless both listed pitchers start.

All picks are for entertainment purposes only with no guarantees implied. Any money wagered is at you own risk.

Good luck!

9 comments:

  1. I almost forgot that you post those disgusting pictures of scantily clad ladies wearing all kinds of baseball apparel. You should be ashamed of yourself ... for making me stare at your post for so long ...

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    1. Yeah, I remember all your complaints from last season :)

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    2. I have a feeling I'm going to be reading more and more and sometimes I'll even find the words instead of thinking "I'd really like to slide into home plate right about now"

      I'll continue to follow heavily as I want to try to eek my way into profitable sports betting at some point, so watching your journey maybe I can pick up some tips and such

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    3. Yeah, sometimes those words are hard to see :)

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  2. I'll bet on the lady in the photo.

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  3. Post is good and news worthy! Image is too good!

    Great post! http://www.ecokaren.com

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  4. Oh, there was an article... :)

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    1. Yeah cw, just look to the left of the A's girl. I think there are a few words written down in that general direction :)

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